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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998440601201401609489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+31Teleop
+17Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +30
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
74Total teleop44
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
4Cage & park18
4Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points12
94Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#12
39.90.7
36.737.3
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
red by 6.3
33.70.4
34.134.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
Second
34.50.6
34.034.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
red by 11.9
4325
#19
22.50.4
22.723.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Third
6098
#31
15.90.5
15.315.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End0.5
red by 0.8
5702
#32
15.00.4
14.715.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned