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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6192050150200117112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
99Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#7
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
117Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3936
#14
25.52.7
21.123.8
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End2.1
blue by 12.1
3875
#10
37.51.1
35.036.1
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Second
21.12.7
19.021.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
blue by 10.2
288
#30
31.31.2
29.030.3
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Third
7814
#20
18.62.7
15.918.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 3.9
5182
#28
14.61.1
13.514.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed