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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78108050150101131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points65
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
24Processor points18
16Net points20
40Algae points38
88Total teleop103
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
101Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9758
#15
31.31.4
30.431.9
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
blue by 5.3
36.72.2
33.035.2
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
Second
216
#24
23.31.6
21.723.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
blue by 13.0
5535
#13
36.22.2
32.434.6
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
Third
9227
#11
20.11.6
18.820.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
blue by 11.2
3452
#18
31.32.0
27.629.6
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned