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Red115
442233.7
956625.2
438137.4
Blue114
24432.7
522720.0
485534.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610880100120140160180115114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+5
+17Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points53
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
75Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points16
115Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.3
38.938.6
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
red by 2.9
34.50.2
34.734.5
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
Second
33.70.3
35.234.9
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
red by 1.0
244
#7
32.70.2
32.932.7
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Third
9566
#26
25.20.3
26.826.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 5.2
5227
#16
20.00.2
20.220.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End2.7