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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1626205010015020025012867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +38
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
77Total teleop39
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
128Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.3
60.960.6
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
red by 33.6
7174
#23
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Second
46.20.3
46.245.9
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
red by 26.1
9227
#11
20.10.0
20.120.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Third
288
#30
31.30.3
31.331.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 12.8
7762
#21
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3