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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1529150200250170146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
22Coral scored#25
80Coral points90
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
12Processor points18
24Net points12
36Algae points30
116Total teleop120
Reef
12L4#10
6L3#8
4L2#3
7L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
170Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.7
59.860.5
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
red by 24.7
5535
#13
36.21.2
34.635.8
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
Second
46.20.7
45.145.8
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
red by 14.9
3452
#18
31.31.2
29.630.8
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
Third
288
#30
31.30.7
30.331.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 5.9
3936
#14
25.51.2
23.825.0
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End2.1