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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271128010012014016018013386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#5
12Processor points6
32Net points20
44Algae points26
109Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#2
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
133Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#10
37.50.2
36.136.3
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
red by 3.1
34.50.5
34.634.1
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
Second
36.70.2
35.235.5
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
red by 4.0
244
#7
32.70.5
32.832.3
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Third
31.80.2
30.430.6
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1
red by 9.1
22.70.5
22.622.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6