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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132835010015020013882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+38Teleop
+58Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#12
67Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
85Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points2
138Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.5
38.238.7
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
red by 10.0
7174
#23
27.30.1
27.627.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Second
33.70.5
34.535.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
red by 13.5
9227
#11
20.10.1
20.420.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Third
9566
#26
25.20.5
26.126.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 6.7
7762
#21
18.50.1
18.818.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3