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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12584501001502008775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+18Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points32
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
46Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#3
7L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
87Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.4
48.147.6
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
red by 18.2
9758
#15
31.30.0
31.931.8
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
Second
217
#12
39.90.4
38.538.0
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
red by 17.4
4325
#19
22.50.0
23.023.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Third
9208
#25
21.40.4
20.019.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
red by 0.3
21.10.0
21.721.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1