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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071058090100120130140150114117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
86Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
114Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#13
36.20.4
35.836.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
red by 1.8
34.50.6
34.134.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
Second
3452
#18
31.30.4
30.831.3
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
blue by 1.4
244
#7
32.70.6
32.332.9
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Third
3936
#14
25.50.4
25.025.5
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End2.1
red by 2.8
22.70.6
22.122.7
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6