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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7693501505554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
7Coral scored#7
25Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
35Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
55Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#23
27.30.3
27.627.3
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
blue by 4.0
9758
#15
31.30.5
31.831.3
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
Second
9227
#11
20.10.3
20.320.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
blue by 2.4
4325
#19
22.50.5
23.022.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Third
7762
#21
18.50.3
18.818.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 2.6
21.10.5
21.621.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1