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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159117100150200250190208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +41
23Coral scored#41
84Coral points149
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
30Processor points18
32Net points20
62Algae points38
146Total teleop187
Reef
7L4#17
11L3#11
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#8
42Game pieces#51
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
190Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.4
60.560.9
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
red by 23.4
3875
#10
37.51.3
36.337.6
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Second
46.20.4
45.846.2
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
red by 9.5
36.71.3
35.536.8
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
Third
288
#30
31.30.4
31.031.3
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
blue by 0.5
31.81.3
30.631.9
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1