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Red101
283427.2
24541.8
353847.1
Blue103
75988.6
718826.2
296051.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13987050200250300101103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+22Teleop
+10Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points12
101Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#18
47.10.9
48.149.1
Auto14.4
Teleop33.3
End-0.6
blue by 4.3
2960
#14
51.50.1
48.548.4
Auto7.9
Teleop34.2
End9.4
Second
245
#10Sur
41.81.8
38.536.8
Auto12.0
Teleop24.6
End5.2
red by 15.6
7188
#13
26.20.1
30.530.3
Auto5.5
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Third
2834
#20
27.21.8
29.828.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End5.7
red by 18.5
8.60.1
5.15.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned