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Red87
570811.6
233760.5
46942.0
Blue111
1065621.2
481027.8
22654.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17210505015020025030035040087111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+16
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#12
53Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
63Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
87Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#15
60.54.3
73.268.9
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End6.0
red by 6.3
226
#6
54.20.4
50.050.4
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End6.9
Second
469
#11
42.04.3
42.237.9
Auto10.4
Teleop28.2
End3.4
red by 14.2
4810
#24
27.80.4
27.227.5
Auto6.8
Teleop20.5
End0.5
Third
5708
#26
11.64.3
21.417.1
Auto1.0
Teleop10.1
End0.5
blue by 9.6
21.20.4
19.419.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned