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Red80
609917.1
925518.2
150636.9
Blue111
543627.6
341465.1
30265.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61202010015025030080111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
29Coral points37
29Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
37Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points6
80Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#23
36.90.5
37.638.1
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End6.2
blue by 28.9
302
#1
65.84.3
59.955.7
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
Second
9255
#25
18.20.5
18.719.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
blue by 46.9
65.14.3
70.165.8
Auto14.0
Teleop45.6
End5.5
Third
6099
#21
17.10.5
13.914.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End0.3
blue by 10.5
5436
#19
27.64.3
39.034.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned