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Red206
924584.3
30265.8
150636.9
Blue100
570811.6
925518.2
353954.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19689050150250300350206100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+96Teleop
+106Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points16
38Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +74
29Coral scored#13
106Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
142Total teleop68
Reef
15L4#7
10L3#3
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points0
206Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.32.1
75.577.6
Auto18.8
Teleop55.8
End9.7
red by 30.3
54.00.2
54.254.4
Auto13.2
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Second
302
#1
65.82.1
55.757.8
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
red by 47.6
9255
#25
18.20.2
19.219.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
1506
#23
36.92.1
38.140.2
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End6.2
red by 25.3
5708
#26
11.60.2
17.117.4
Auto1.0
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned