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Red80
296051.5
543627.6
2759.9
Blue65
481027.8
148132.3
609917.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164730501001502002503008065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
41Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
80Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#9
59.93.8
53.249.4
Auto12.1
Teleop38.9
End9.0
red by 27.6
1481
#16
32.30.8
34.533.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.5
End3.5
Second
2960
#14
51.53.8
48.444.6
Auto7.9
Teleop34.2
End9.4
red by 23.7
4810
#24
27.80.8
27.526.8
Auto6.8
Teleop20.5
End0.5
Third
5436
#19
27.63.8
34.731.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End5.5
red by 10.5
6099
#21
17.10.8
14.513.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed