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Red106
332242.8
353847.1
718826.2
Blue54
20139.3
1065621.2
283427.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359205015020025010654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+48Teleop
+46Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points23
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
47Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points0
106Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#18
47.10.2
46.246.1
Auto14.4
Teleop33.3
End-0.6
red by 7.8
201
#12
39.31.9
36.534.6
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End3.8
Second
3322
#22
42.80.9
36.936.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.2
End8.3
red by 15.7
2834
#20
27.21.9
29.027.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End5.7
Third
7188
#13
26.20.9
29.328.4
Auto5.5
Teleop20.1
End0.6
red by 5.0
21.21.9
17.515.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsMissed