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Red130
24541.8
75988.6
3366.8
Blue142
22654.2
30265.8
570811.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111141050200250300130142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +15
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
84Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#10
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
130Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
66.81.1
60.962.0
Auto15.6
Teleop43.2
End8.0
red by 1.0
302
#1
65.80.3
57.858.1
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
Second
245
#10
41.81.1
35.736.8
Auto12.0
Teleop24.6
End5.2
blue by 12.4
226
#6
54.20.3
51.351.6
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End6.9
Third
8.61.1
5.46.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 3.0
5708
#26
11.60.3
17.417.7
Auto1.0
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed