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Red134
481027.8
50337.2
296051.5
Blue167
353954.0
150636.9
341465.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118189050100150250300134167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
17Coral scored#22
60Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
92Total teleop112
Reef
6L4#10
9L3#9
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points6
134Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#14
51.50.1
44.644.7
Auto7.9
Teleop34.2
End9.4
blue by 13.6
65.11.3
63.662.3
Auto14.0
Teleop45.6
End5.5
Second
503
#2
37.20.1
37.837.9
Auto10.4
Teleop17.9
End8.9
blue by 16.8
54.01.3
54.453.2
Auto13.2
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Third
4810
#24
27.80.1
26.826.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.5
End0.5
blue by 9.1
1506
#23
36.91.3
40.238.9
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned