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Red157
924584.3
46942.0
609917.1
Blue149
2759.9
148132.3
233760.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361700100200300400157149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave6
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points17
42Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
21Coral scored#22
77Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
101Total teleop110
Reef
10L4#9
11L3#6
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
157Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.31.8
77.679.4
Auto18.8
Teleop55.8
End9.7
red by 23.7
2337
#15
60.50.0
66.666.6
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End6.0
Second
469
#11
42.01.8
38.940.7
Auto10.4
Teleop28.2
End3.4
blue by 18.0
27
#9
59.90.0
49.449.4
Auto12.1
Teleop38.9
End9.0
Third
6099
#21
17.11.8
13.715.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End0.3
blue by 15.2
1481
#16
32.30.0
33.733.6
Auto8.3
Teleop20.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned