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Red160
24541.8
22654.2
353954.0
Blue119
332242.8
150636.9
283427.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167104050150200250160119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+51Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +37
23Coral scored#11
81Coral points40
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
6Processor points18
20Net points12
26Algae points30
107Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#4
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
160Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#6
54.20.5
51.652.1
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End6.9
red by 11.4
3322
#22
42.80.4
36.036.4
Auto10.3
Teleop24.2
End8.3
Second
54.00.5
53.253.7
Auto13.2
Teleop31.8
End9.0
red by 17.1
1506
#23
36.90.4
38.939.3
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End6.2
Third
245
#10
41.80.5
36.837.3
Auto12.0
Teleop24.6
End5.2
red by 14.6
2834
#20
27.20.4
27.027.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned