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Red62
543627.6
50337.2
609917.1
Blue55
46942.0
75988.6
925518.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97690501502006255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points29
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
33Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
62Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#2
37.21.8
37.936.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.9
End8.9
blue by 4.8
469
#11
42.00.9
40.739.8
Auto10.4
Teleop28.2
End3.4
Second
5436
#19
27.61.8
29.928.2
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End5.5
red by 9.4
9255
#25
18.20.9
18.417.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
6099
#21
17.11.8
15.513.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End0.3
red by 8.5
8.60.9
6.55.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed