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Red180
30265.8
24541.8
332242.8
Blue170
22654.2
20139.3
296051.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154155120140160180180170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave9
10Coral scored#2
48Coral points10
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +32
15Coral scored#26
53Coral points93
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
24Processor points12
16Net points20
40Algae points32
93Total teleop125
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#10
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
180Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
65.82.3
60.963.2
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
red by 11.6
226
#6
54.21.7
52.153.8
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End6.9
Second
3322
#22
42.82.3
36.438.7
Auto10.3
Teleop24.2
End8.3
blue by 8.6
2960
#14
51.51.7
47.649.3
Auto7.9
Teleop34.2
End9.4
Third
245
#10
41.82.3
37.339.6
Auto12.0
Teleop24.6
End5.2
red by 2.4
201
#12
39.31.7
33.535.2
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned