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Red93
570811.6
3366.8
481027.8
Blue143
148132.3
353847.1
341465.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11015405020025030035093143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +34
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points57
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
61Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
93Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
66.80.7
64.864.2
Auto15.6
Teleop43.2
End8.0
red by 1.7
65.10.4
61.361.6
Auto14.0
Teleop45.6
End5.5
Second
4810
#24
27.80.7
25.825.2
Auto6.8
Teleop20.5
End0.5
blue by 19.4
3538
#18
47.14.5
40.645.1
Auto14.4
Teleop33.3
End-0.6
Third
5708
#26
11.60.7
12.311.6
Auto1.0
Teleop10.1
End0.5
blue by 20.7
1481
#16
32.30.4
31.732.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed