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Red106
925518.2
332242.8
1065621.2
Blue162
46942.0
20139.3
24541.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80145050100200250300350106162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+58
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
12Coral scored#21
43Coral points76
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
67Total teleop118
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
106Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#22
42.80.7
38.739.4
Auto10.3
Teleop24.2
End8.3
red by 0.9
469
#11
42.01.9
39.841.7
Auto10.4
Teleop28.2
End3.4
Second
21.20.7
19.420.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End6.3
blue by 20.5
245
#10
41.81.9
39.641.5
Auto12.0
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Third
9255
#25
18.20.7
17.518.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
blue by 21.1
201
#12
39.31.9
35.237.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned