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Red188
30265.8
481027.8
3366.8
Blue42
283427.2
718826.2
6833.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1818605010015020025030018842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+114Teleop
+140Endgame
+146Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave0
10Coral scored#5
49Coral points23
58Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +79
21Coral scored#4
74Coral points13
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
98Total teleop19
Reef
13L4#3
6L3#2
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#10
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +146
6Foul points0
188Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
66.80.7
64.264.8
Auto15.6
Teleop43.2
End8.0
red by 32.9
68
#27
33.91.0
34.033.0
Auto9.7
Teleop18.5
End5.7
Second
302
#1
65.80.7
63.263.8
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
red by 38.6
2834
#20
27.21.0
27.226.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End5.7
Third
4810
#24
27.80.7
25.225.8
Auto6.8
Teleop20.5
End0.5
red by 1.6
7188
#13
26.21.0
26.325.2
Auto5.5
Teleop20.1
End0.6