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Red193
341465.1
3366.8
20139.3
Blue57
150636.9
46942.0
543627.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20215405010025030035019357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+122Teleop
+136Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave9
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +91
29Coral scored#9
105Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
137Total teleop46
Reef
11L4#4
7L3#2
11L2#1
7L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +136
0Foul points0
193Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
66.80.6
64.565.1
Auto15.6
Teleop43.2
End8.0
red by 24.8
469
#11
42.06.0
49.843.8
Auto10.4
Teleop28.2
End3.4
Second
65.10.6
69.970.5
Auto14.0
Teleop45.6
End5.5
red by 28.2
1506
#23
36.96.0
47.141.2
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End6.2
Third
201
#12
39.30.6
43.944.5
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End3.8
red by 11.7
5436
#19
27.66.0
46.940.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed