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Red148
353847.1
1065621.2
353954.0
Blue129
6833.9
924584.3
24541.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145207050100250300350400148129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+1
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
43Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
81Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
148Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.5
57.858.3
Auto13.2
Teleop31.8
End9.0
blue by 30.3
84.34.2
81.277.1
Auto18.8
Teleop55.8
End9.7
Second
3538
#18
47.10.5
51.251.7
Auto14.4
Teleop33.3
End-0.6
red by 5.4
245
#10
41.84.2
43.339.1
Auto12.0
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Third
21.20.5
19.520.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End6.3
blue by 12.7
68
#27
33.94.2
52.648.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed