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Red108
50337.2
148132.3
570811.6
Blue104
332242.8
609917.1
22654.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991260200300400500108104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
69Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
108Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#2
37.20.5
36.437.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.9
End8.9
blue by 17.0
226
#6
54.20.5
50.950.4
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End6.9
Second
1481
#16
32.30.5
34.134.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.5
End3.5
blue by 10.5
3322
#22
42.80.5
42.942.4
Auto10.3
Teleop24.2
End8.3
Third
5708
#26
11.60.5
23.423.9
Auto1.0
Teleop10.1
End0.5
blue by 5.5
6099
#21
17.10.5
17.216.8
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed