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Red126
75988.6
6833.9
50337.2
Blue90
1065621.2
24541.8
148132.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10511705015020025030035012690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
70Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#5
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
126Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#2
37.22.1
37.039.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.9
End8.9
blue by 4.5
245
#10
41.80.6
39.138.5
Auto12.0
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Second
68
#27
33.92.1
48.550.6
Auto9.7
Teleop18.5
End5.7
red by 1.6
1481
#16
32.30.6
34.734.1
Auto8.3
Teleop20.5
End3.5
Third
8.62.1
3.05.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 12.6
21.20.6
20.019.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned