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Red114
30265.8
46942.0
718826.2
Blue99
150636.9
296051.5
353847.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15316010012014018011499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
63Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points8
114Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
65.81.6
61.559.9
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
red by 14.3
2960
#14
51.53.6
52.148.5
Auto7.9
Teleop34.2
End9.4
Second
469
#11
42.01.6
43.842.2
Auto10.4
Teleop28.2
End3.4
blue by 5.2
3538
#18
47.13.6
51.748.1
Auto14.4
Teleop33.3
End-0.6
Third
7188
#13
26.21.6
32.030.5
Auto5.5
Teleop20.1
End0.6
blue by 10.7
1506
#23
36.93.6
41.237.6
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed