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Red98
283427.2
718826.2
6833.9
Blue93
233760.5
543627.6
75988.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911140501502002509893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
11Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +9
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
46Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
98Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#27
33.90.2
33.033.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.5
End5.7
blue by 26.6
2337
#15
60.50.1
60.660.5
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End6.0
Second
2834
#20
27.20.2
26.226.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End5.7
blue by 0.4
5436
#19
27.60.1
27.727.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End5.5
Third
7188
#13
26.20.2
25.225.4
Auto5.5
Teleop20.1
End0.6
red by 17.6
8.60.1
8.78.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6