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Red167
1065621.2
924584.3
50337.2
Blue119
24541.8
148132.3
46942.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16213150100150200250167119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+26Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points20
43Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
88Total teleop82
Reef
12L4#7
8L3#5
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#25
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
167Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.30.6
83.784.2
Auto18.8
Teleop55.8
End9.7
red by 42.3
469
#11
42.00.1
41.942.0
Auto10.4
Teleop28.2
End3.4
Second
503
#2
37.20.6
36.637.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.9
End8.9
blue by 4.5
245
#10
41.80.1
41.741.8
Auto12.0
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Third
21.20.6
20.621.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End6.3
blue by 11.1
1481
#16
32.30.1
32.232.3
Auto8.3
Teleop20.5
End3.5