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Red171
30265.8
481027.8
3366.8
Blue184
22654.2
353847.1
353954.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171169155160165175180185171184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +11
21Coral scored#20
74Coral points71
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
24Processor points12
16Net points20
40Algae points32
114Total teleop103
Reef
12L4#12
9L3#8
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points6
171Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
66.80.3
64.865.1
Auto15.6
Teleop43.2
End8.0
red by 12.6
226
#6
54.20.5
53.954.3
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End6.9
Second
302
#1
65.80.3
63.864.1
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
red by 11.8
54.00.5
53.654.1
Auto13.2
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Third
4810
#24
27.80.3
25.826.1
Auto6.8
Teleop20.5
End0.5
blue by 19.4
3538
#18
47.11.9
45.447.3
Auto14.4
Teleop33.3
End-0.6