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Red171
296051.5
150636.9
20139.3
Blue214
341465.1
332242.8
2759.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135182050100200250300350171214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +24
24Coral scored#26
86Coral points94
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
18Processor points18
16Net points32
34Algae points50
120Total teleop144
Reef
9L4#13
9L3#11
5L2#6
8L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
171Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#14
51.51.0
50.451.5
Auto7.9
Teleop34.2
End9.4
blue by 13.6
65.11.2
62.163.3
Auto14.0
Teleop45.6
End5.5
Second
201
#12
39.31.0
38.339.3
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End3.8
blue by 20.6
27
#9
59.91.2
56.958.2
Auto12.1
Teleop38.9
End9.0
Third
1506
#23
36.91.0
35.836.9
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End6.2
blue by 6.0
3322
#22
42.81.2
39.841.1
Auto10.3
Teleop24.2
End8.3