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Red159
30265.8
481027.8
3366.8
Blue146
1065621.2
924584.3
50337.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17915750100200250300159146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points33
47Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
96Total teleop84
Reef
9L4#13
9L3#5
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
159Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
66.80.0
65.165.2
Auto15.6
Teleop43.2
End8.0
blue by 17.5
84.30.0
84.284.3
Auto18.8
Teleop55.8
End9.7
Second
302
#1
65.80.0
64.164.1
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
red by 28.6
503
#2
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.9
End8.9
Third
4810
#24
27.80.0
26.126.2
Auto6.8
Teleop20.5
End0.5
red by 6.6
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End6.3