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Red103
609826.3
550556.8
974218.5
Blue136
716036.0
1058961.5
828620.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8997607080110120130103136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+35
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
14Coral scored#21
50Coral points76
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
70Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#9
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points6
103Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.81.2
43.244.4
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
blue by 4.7
61.52.7
43.946.6
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
Second
6098
#16
26.31.2
15.917.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
blue by 9.7
7160
#19
36.02.7
26.929.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Third
9742
#32
18.51.2
22.824.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 2.2
8286
#18
20.72.7
15.418.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed