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Qual 22025 FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State
Red177
10733.9
49463.4
861124.7
Blue77
721159.3
1042123.6
696312.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118975015020017777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+84Teleop
+94Endgame
+100Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +84
23Coral scored#9
82Coral points34
5Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
30Processor points6
20Net points8
50Algae points14
132Total teleop48
Reef
12L4#3
9L3#2
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
6Foul points0
177Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
63.43.3
45.3→48.7
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
red by 4.1
7211
#3
59.32.2
50.2→48.0
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
Second
107
#13
33.93.3
29.8→33.1
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9
red by 10.3
10421
#27
23.62.2
20.7→18.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8
Third
8611
#21
24.73.3
21.0→24.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 12.3
6963
#39
12.32.2
13.3→11.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsMissed