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Red38
611315.7
546221.6
975422.4
Blue89
791115.8
360336.2
705437.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3779020601001201403889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#12
13Coral points42
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
17Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
6Foul points12
38Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9754
#24
22.41.1
15.314.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
blue by 14.8
7054
#15
37.20.0
28.628.7
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
Second
5462
#12
21.61.1
15.013.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
blue by 14.6
3603
#26
36.20.0
26.426.5
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
Third
6113
#35
15.71.1
12.811.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 0.1
7911
#40
15.80.0
16.316.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed