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Red76
1062217.9
483518.8
975620.9
Blue38
972121.8
570610.7
96829.6
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404302060801001207638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
42Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
18Foul points0
76Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9756
#28
20.90.7
12.313.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.6
End1.4
blue by 0.8
9721
#38
21.80.8
24.623.8
Auto3.0
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
4835
#25
18.80.7
12.012.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
red by 8.1
5706
#17
10.70.8
5.34.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Third
17.90.7
11.912.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.5
red by 8.3
9682
#33
9.60.8
10.29.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed