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Red188
917642.5
687737.3
553549.6
Blue131
924222.9
432723.1
191855.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10596406080120140160180188131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+15Teleop
+37Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
27Coral scored#16
96Coral points58
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
12Processor points24
12Net points12
24Algae points36
120Total teleop94
Reef
12L4#5
8L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#26
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
20Foul points0
188Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.64.0
36.240.3
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
blue by 6.0
55.72.0
47.949.9
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
Second
9176
#11
42.54.0
28.332.4
Auto3.5
Teleop32.4
End6.6
red by 19.4
4327
#36
23.12.0
24.226.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
Third
37.34.0
29.333.3
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End9.1
red by 14.4
9242
#29
22.92.0
14.716.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned