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Red54
922515.3
611315.7
972121.8
Blue146
861232.5
191855.7
553549.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3913805010015020025054146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+78
Endgame+98
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +68
6Coral scored#20
23Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
33Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
6Foul points0
54Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9721
#38
21.80.7
23.823.1
Auto3.0
Teleop16.2
End2.5
blue by 33.9
55.71.4
49.951.3
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
Second
6113
#35
15.70.7
11.711.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 33.9
49.61.4
40.341.6
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
Third
9225
#31
15.30.7
11.410.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 17.2
8612
#34
32.51.4
24.325.6
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned