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Red74
924222.9
974218.5
610032.0
Blue99
687737.3
954831.4
483518.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85890501502002507499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#17
38Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
62Total teleop86
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
74Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6100
#30
32.01.0
24.823.7
Auto4.5
Teleop23.0
End4.4
blue by 5.3
37.30.4
33.333.7
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End9.1
Second
9242
#29
22.91.0
16.715.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 8.5
31.40.4
22.623.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
Third
9742
#32
18.51.0
24.023.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 0.3
4835
#25
18.80.4
12.713.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsMissed