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Red67
696312.3
553549.6
609826.3
Blue98
705437.2
954831.4
974218.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818602004006008006798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
53Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points18
67Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.2
41.640.5
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
red by 12.4
7054
#15
37.20.3
29.729.4
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
Second
6098
#16
26.31.2
19.818.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
blue by 5.1
31.40.3
23.022.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
Third
6963
#39
12.31.2
11.710.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.1
blue by 6.2
9742
#32
18.50.3
23.022.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned