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Red153
191855.7
828620.7
550556.8
Blue98
975620.9
360336.2
60058.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13749010015020025015398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+41Teleop
+61Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
104Total teleop77
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points6
153Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.81.2
45.046.1
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
red by 20.6
3603
#26
36.21.1
25.826.9
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
Second
55.71.2
51.352.5
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
red by 34.7
9756
#28
20.91.1
13.915.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Third
8286
#18
20.71.2
20.922.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.7
red by 11.8
6005
#23
8.91.1
14.815.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed