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Red43
924222.9
791115.8
664224.1
Blue35
861124.7
922515.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4953203040607080904335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
26Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
43Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6642
#10
24.10.1
12.812.6
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End1.7
blue by 0.5
8611
#21
24.70.7
25.424.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.6
Second
9242
#29
22.90.1
15.715.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 7.6
9225
#31
15.30.7
10.810.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Third
7911
#40
15.80.1
16.416.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
red by 5.9
9.90.7
9.78.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed