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Red94
716036.0
10733.9
861232.5
Blue103
96829.6
7054.5
483518.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10383406012014016018020094103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
16Total auto27
Teleoperatedlevel
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
72Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
94Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#19
36.00.2
30.630.4
Auto6.2
Teleop22.6
End7.3
blue by 18.5
70
#2
54.51.5
49.551.0
Auto13.6
Teleop34.0
End6.9
Second
107
#13
33.90.2
32.532.3
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9
red by 15.0
4835
#25
18.81.5
13.114.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Third
8612
#34
32.50.2
25.625.4
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6
red by 22.9
9682
#33
9.61.5
9.911.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed