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Red67
194013.3
432723.1
546221.6
Blue109
975422.4
972121.8
49463.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6711005010015067109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
52Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points12
67Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#36
23.10.5
26.026.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
blue by 40.3
494
#1
63.40.5
50.851.4
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
Second
5462
#12
21.60.5
14.915.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
blue by 0.8
9754
#24
22.40.5
15.115.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Third
1940
#37
13.30.8
19.019.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End2.7
blue by 8.4
9721
#38
21.80.5
23.123.6
Auto3.0
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned