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Red78
1042123.6
516219.9
611315.7
Blue108
400433.4
550556.8
1062217.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52117010015020078108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+42
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points26
12Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +22
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
50Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
78Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.5
19.420.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8
blue by 33.2
56.80.6
46.146.8
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
Second
5162
#22
19.91.5
12.614.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.7
End2.1
blue by 13.6
33.40.6
26.727.3
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End8.2
Third
6113
#35
15.71.5
11.012.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 2.2
17.90.6
15.115.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed